Vol. I  ·  No. 2
Friday, October 16, 2026
13 stories in the archive

Front page › Rates › The Numbers That Matter Right Now

The Numbers That Matter Right Now

Updated October 16, 2026 · maintained, not published once

A maintained page, not a one-off story. Each figure links to the agency that sets it and carries the date we last checked it.

Each figure as of the date shown, from the source named.

MeasureValueAs ofSource
Federal funds target range3.75%–4.00%Sep 16, 2026Federal Reserve
Next Fed decisionOct 28, 2026—Federal Reserve calendar
30-year fixed mortgage, average7.40%Oct 15, 2026Freddie Mac PMMS
15-year fixed mortgage, average6.71%Oct 15, 2026Freddie Mac PMMS
3-month Treasury bill4.28%Oct 15, 2026Treasury par yield curve
2-year Treasury note4.77%Oct 15, 2026Treasury par yield curve
10-year Treasury note5.10%Oct 15, 2026Treasury par yield curve
30-year Treasury bond5.43%Oct 15, 2026Treasury par yield curve

Medicare's 2027 Part B premium had not been announced on the date shown.

MeasureValuePeriodSource
Consumer Price Index, 12 months3.7%Sep 2026BLS
CPI excluding food and energy, 12 months2.6%Sep 2026BLS
Social Security COLA3.6%For 2027SSA
Social Security COLA, prior year2.8%For 2026SSA
Social Security taxable maximum$192,300For 2027SSA
Earnings test, under full retirement age$25,560For 2027SSA
Earnings test, year reaching full retirement age$67,920For 2027SSA

Retirement

Social Security Benefits Rise 3.6 Percent in 2027

The largest cost-of-living adjustment since 2023 reaches checks in January. Medicare's 2027 Part B premium, which comes out of many of those checks, has not been announced yet.

Monthly Social Security benefits and Supplemental Security Income payments will rise 3.6 percent in 2027, the Social Security Administration announced October 14. The increase reaches nearly 72 million Social Security beneficiaries starting with January 2027 benefits, and about 7.3 million SSI recipients starting with payments on December 31, 2026.

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Rates

After September's Hike, the Fed Decides Again October 28

The federal funds target is 3.75 to 4 percent. Inflation ran at 3.7 percent in September, well above the Fed's 2 percent goal.

The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter point at its September 15–16 meeting, to a target range of 3.75 to 4 percent, on a 12–0 vote. Its next decision comes at the end of the October 27–28 meeting, followed by a final 2026 meeting December 8–9.

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Retirement

Medicare Open Enrollment for 2027 Runs Through December 7

The window to switch drug plans or move between Original Medicare and Medicare Advantage opens today.

Medicare's Open Enrollment period for 2027 coverage runs from October 15 through December 7. During it, people with Medicare can switch from Original Medicare to a Medicare Advantage plan or back, change Medicare Advantage plans, and join, switch or drop a Part D drug plan. Changes take effect January 1.

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Economy

Retail Sales Rose 0.8 Percent in September

Retail and food services sales rose 0.8 percent in September from August, the Census Bureau's advance estimate released October 15 shows, after a revised 1.3 percent gain in August. The figures are not adjusted for price changes, so with consumer prices up 0.6 percent in September, much of the increase reflects higher prices rather than more buying. Advance estimates are revised in later months.

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Figures come from the Federal Reserve, Treasury, Freddie Mac, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Social Security Administration.

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